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September 1999

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Issue cover LANDSLIDE? THE EXPERTS' OPINION POLL

The boxing experts go big for Trinidad, but are they correct to doubt De La Hoya in this fashion? Opinion poll conducted by GRAHAM HOUSTON


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PRIDE OF PUERTO RICO: Felix Trinidad is a national hero but single-minded devotion to boxing will be key, say fight-traders - Get Big Pic

Oscar De La Hoya’s welterweight title fight with Felix Trinidad has the fight game buzzing: two undefeated young champions, each capable of hurting the other. A poll of some of the most knowledgeable people in boxing showed that the weight of opinion within the trade is that Trinidad will win, although several of those polled felt that they simply could not pick a winner. Some cited the fact that De La Hoya’s varied interests as opposed to Trinidad’s 100% focus could be a big factor, others pointed out that the way Trinidad performed more impressively than De La Hoya against two common opponents, Pernell Whitaker and Oba Carr, is a clear indication that the Puerto Rican is simply the better fighter. But here is what those polled had to say:

EMANUEL STEWARD (who trained De La Hoya for his fights with David Kamau and Hector Camacho): I hate to say it, but I have to go with Felix. I don't like to make that prediction, because of all the fighters I've worked with in recent years, Oscar's one of my closest. But I just feel, at this point in time, that he's not prepared, and I think Felix is - spiritually and talent-wise. Anyone who saw Oscar's last two fights and feels that Oscar is looking good, I have a problem with them. They're not being realistic. The last two fights, he not only didn't seem to have the confidence, he seemed to have no unity with his corner, he just sits and looks out into space and goes out and does whatever he can. I just don't like what I saw. I just wish the fight had taken place two years ago, or maybe would take place a little later so he can get himself together. Even when I was training Oscar, I told him Felix was, to me, the best fighter in the world, pound for pound. But we'll see what happens.

BOBBY CZYZ (ex-champ, TV analyst): Unless some drastic, weird thing happens, I think Trinidad dominates him. You saw Whitaker and De La Hoya. I thought Whitaker won the fight. Oba Carr was dominating De La Hoya. Trinidad destroyed both of those fighters. I don't think De La Hoya has the chin or the guts. And here's the thing. Trinidad has the reach, and the same height. De La Hoya doesn't have the height and reach to keep away, doesn't have the height and reach to make the other fighter work harder. They both go down from time to time, but when De La Hoya gets up, he's not set. When Trinidad gets up, he's twice as dangerous. I think Trinidad by mid to late-round knockout, or he just dominates the fight and De La Hoya survives. Anybody that's smart would bet Trinidad. I think the further the fight goes, the more problems De La Hoya has. I think he has to take a shot [go all out] early - because De La Hoya can punch.

TEDDY ATLAS (trainer, TV analyst): I can see a lot of guys favouring Trinidad, some of it justly, some of it misperception. The last performances of both guys would kind of favour Trinidad but he's been in with the lesser-quality guys. You have to take that into the evaluation. Who knows how Trinidad would do with [Ike] Quartey? We forget that he's been on the floor with some opposition that hasn't been as keen as some of the guys Oscar has fought. Trinidad's a good offensive fighter, he's technically sound and his temperament is to be a fighter. Trinidad's never been in one of these fights for all the marbles, in the middle of this kind of spotlight.

Trinidad reminds me of a young Terry Norris. One of his [Norris's] greatest vulnerabilities was that he would not know how to switch from offense to defence. Sometimes his instincts offensively would hurt him defensively, he'd kinda stay there a little too long. Instead of throwing three [punches] and being satisfied, he'd stand there for five, and he'd get nailed on the fifth. He'd get caught out of nowhere in the middle of his last punch with a punch he didn't see, and he'd be hurt. I see that happening sometimes with Trinidad, where he doesn't switch off the offense in time.

I can see the fight going where Trinidad is winning the fight all the way up to the moment where he gets caught, because of what I see as being a flaw in him.

Oscar has found a way, throughout his career, of landing a punch when he needed to. He did it in the Olympics when he needed to. He's done it in the pros. That's not luck. That's a talent, a quality that's part of his makeup. He finds a way to win - sometimes under extreme circumstances. And Oscar might have the better chin - when it counts - than Felix does. And there's something you don't notice at first with Oscar - with all the Golden Boy stuff, the looks, the money; he's a fighter at core.

ROGER BLOODWORTH (trainer): I was really surprised that Oscar took the fight. I thought all along, and I had predicted, that he would never fight Trinidad. I think it's a dangerous fight for Oscar. Trinidad can punch, he can maybe a box a little bit better than Oscar. But Oscar's maybe a little quicker than Trinidad - and he can punch. Neither one of them has a chin, so either one could get knocked out. It's a very hard fight to predict. It could be one round, or the whole 12 rounds. I kinda favour Trinidad because I think he's had a little tougher fights and he's maybe a little bit stronger. But Oscar could knock him out, too.

FREDDIE ROACH (trainer): I like Trinidad a little bit. I think he's a bit better puncher. If Oscar fights like he's done in his last two fights and trades with this guy, he might find Trinidad is too big a puncher. Oscar will do better if he's smart and boxes the guy. One thing in Oscar's favour is that Trinidad does have a lot of trouble making 147 pounds. I hope Oscar wins; he's good for boxing.

JOE GOOSSEN (trainer, who was in the other corner from De La Hoya with Rafael Ruelas): Trinidad is walking through his opponents right now. He's really dismantling them. He's the stronger of the two and he's a two-handed fighter. Oscar is awesome with the left, but in the fight with Oba Carr I thought he took too much time off in the rounds. Maybe he's getting too complacent with guys he doesn't perceive as a challenge. Carr was getting the right hand in. You could have made a case for Carr winning quite a few of those rounds. With Ike Quartey it was another neck-and-neck fight. With Trinidad I see single-mindedness. He doesn't waste time in the ring. You saw how bothersome Quartey's jab was to Oscar. Quartey only had a business-as-usual right hand, but I'm surprised it landed as often as it did. You have to think what happens if Trinidad's right hand lands - it's sharper and straighter than Quartey's. If De La Hoya doesn't step up the intensity he showed in earlier fights, he's in trouble. I think it's a pick-em fight, but unless Oscar can get the focus back he may not have the edge that Trinidad has going into it.

DON CHARGIN (long-time promoter and matchmaker): I like De La Hoya. He always seems to find a way to win those fights, if it's having a big last round or something. We're far in advance, I might change - but from the time the fight was announced I liked De La Hoya. I think it's going to be a long fight. No matter what they're both saying, there's got to be a lot of respect for the other guy - the punching power and all-around boxing ability. They're not going to go out and get foolish, neither one of them.

ALEX RAMOS (former middleweight prospect): You have two great fighters. De La Hoya has been the busier fighter, but the better fighter, the better puncher - the brains - I think is Felix Trinidad. He can really fight. He's unbelievable. It's going to be an incredible fight. In the blink of an eye, something can happen. I like them both. As far as who's going to win, I really don't know. But by watching the first 30 seconds, I believe you'll know who's going to win the fight.

RONNIE SHIELDS (trainer, former light-welter contender): I think it's gonna be a great fight. Although they're both champions, people think of Oscar as the champion, so the pressure is on Trinidad. I feel if Oscar can hurt Trinidad early, he has a good shot [at winning], but if he comes out slow, like he did with Ike Quartey, I see him getting hit too much. Overall, I think Trinidad is the better fighter and will probably stop him late. But Trinidad has to get an outright win because I don't think he can get a decision in a close fight.

KEVIN KELLEY (former featherweight champion, analyst for promoter Cedric Kushner's Heavyweight Explosion TV shows): I think that Oscar's gonna try to prove something - and Trinidad's definitely gonna try to prove something. What I know about Trinidad - and I've spent some time with him - it's personal. He really don't like Oscar. So Oscar's got to gain his respect. This fight is long overdue. Like everybody else, I just want to see the outcome. Oscar has a great left hook but Trinidad has two hands. I don't make predictions, including on my own fights, but the fight's not going past five rounds.

SHELLY FINKEL (top manager): I think that it's an early fight; I don't think it's going to go near the distance. My own gut feeling is under six rounds. I wouldn't be surprised who won, but early on [two months before the fight] I go with Trinidad, although Oscar can hit pretty good. Trinidad goes down early, but he gets up. I just lean a little towards Trinidad.

LOU DUVA (veteran manager and trainer): I like Trinidad. I think he'll get knocked down by De La Hoya, but he'll get up. I'm not sure about De La Hoya. I think if De La Hoya gets hurt, he's going to panic and throw caution to the wind, and that's gonna be the end of him - when he does that, Trinidad's gonna knock him out. I look for somewhere around six to eight rounds.

JOSE TORRES (former light-heavyweight champion, now a writer and broadcaster): Fourteen months ago [as of July] I thought that De La Hoya would beat Trinidad. But then [in his most recent fights] I noticed that Tito Trinidad was still improving, even though he has been a champ for five years. He handled Whitaker with so much ease and with a very special defensive mode. Now - when he knocked out the last guy, Hugo Pineda, I was in shock how much more he had improved. He was like a perfect fighter. That made me take another look at the situation. Now I feel that Tito Trinidad is fighting in another dimension that is very hard to figure out - he's like a perfect machine. That, in combination with the fact that De La Hoya has millions and millions in the bank, that he is making money inside and outside the ring, that he has been signing contracts for millions and millions - I think that takes the hunger away from De La Hoya. So I think the chances are that when you put that equation into your head, you have to come out with the idea that Trinidad should knock out De La Hoya. De La Hoya has no hunger, and that is not controlled by the person - there is a switch in the brain that turns off automatically, and nobody can turn it on. And I think that that switch has been turned off in De La Hoya. He's a great fighter, but I think he can not reach the dimension of today's Tito Trinidad. De La Hoya has not improved. To me, that means he is not hungry. But if he gets hungry for this fight, who knows? I once said that my heart is with Trinidad but my money is with De La Hoya, but I've switched: my heart is with De La Hoya but my money is with Trinidad. I expect Trinidad to win, but I would not be in shock if De La Hoya wins.

KENNY ADAMS (trainer): Until Oscar's fight with Oba Carr, I thought Oscar would win because he thinks more about strategy. Trinidad goes in and it's a war, he just drives forward. I thought that would be his downfall, and Oscar would pick him off. But now I pick Trinidad. Oba Carr doesn't have the greatest chin, but Oscar didn't do nothing much to him at all. Oscar has so many things on his mind, has made so many changes, that's hard on a guy. Trinidad might be a lot more hungry.

DON MAJESKI (international agent): I believe De La Hoya will beat Trinidad on a 12-round decision. I think he's a bit better fighter, he seems to be able to pull things out, like he did against Quartey with the knockdown late and Oba Carr with the knockout in the 11th round. Trinidad has tremendous natural skills, but I just think there's a little bit too much maturity in De La Hoya for him. But I think it's going to be a great fight and could be the first of a series, because it's two guys fighting in the prime of their career, which is a real rarity today.

DAN GOOSSEN (chief operating officer, America Presents): Based on their most recent performances, Trinidad seems the sharper of the two, but I lean towards Oscar because he finds a way to win even when he's not looking good.

FERDIE PACHECO (TV analyst, long-time boxing observer): The bottom line is, I think Trinidad's going to knock him out. Why? I've followed each fighter completely, but I discovered Trinidad in his second or third fight and put him on Univision [the Spanish-language TV network]. Trinidad is physically more imposing than the other guy - taller, rangier kind of guy. He is an excellent boxer. But, more than that, he is a devastating finisher. I don't see De La Hoya outboxing him, and as far as getting someone in trouble and finishing him, it seems to me that in all of his recent fights he's had a lot of trouble finishing people. He gets them in trouble but he can't put them out. Contrast that with the way Trinidad economically husbands his punches. He goes to the ribs, he hooks to the head. He hooks to the head, he goes back down to the ribs. The guy is a Sugar Ray Robinson type of pinpoint puncher. He is a finisher. You get in trouble with Trinidad, you are in trouble. And when a boxer is solely concentrated on boxing, does nothing but that, he usually has the advantage over a guy who has five other things he's worried about [referring to De La Hoya's celebrity lifestyle]. Trinidad's a 1990s equivalent of Rocky Marciano or Joe Louis. I'll take the guy that's got the edge in height, in punching ability, who has concentrated solely on the fight and has a spectacular record against better opposition. I'll take that guy over the darling that's great looking, that fights nice, exciting and all that, but who hasn't quite come up to snuff. Oscar's a fine fighter, he has a good heart, but I see too many negatives and I don't see how he's going to overcome that.

JAMES PAGE (WBA welterweight champion, who claims to have dropped De La Hoya in sparring): I think Trinidad might win the fight. He's stronger, the better puncher.

MIGUEL DIAZ (trainer): The fight's going to be very interesting, very even. Two great champions, and I cannot pick a winner. Oscar wasn't too clever in the last two fights. If he boxes smart, I think Oscar wins, but if he trades with Trinidad it becomes a shootout and anyone can win - the one who connects first.

AL BERNSTEIN (longtime TV boxing analyst): It's a 50-50 fight. De La Hoya hasn't looked good in his last couple of fights, and Trinidad has looked good, even coming off a layoff. But, given that, they both punch hard, they both can be hurt and they have very similar styles. I go back and forth: one day Trinidad, the next De La Hoya. I used to think De La Hoya - easily. Two years ago if you'd asked me this question I would have said he would have knocked him out in two rounds. Guys had hurt Trinidad - guys like Anthony Stephens. But De La Hoya's technique has eroded so much - now I don't know.

CORNELIUS BOZA-EDWARDS (former super featherweight champ, now a trainer): I like Oscar. He's the quicker, sharper fighter, the cleaner puncher as regards jabs hitting the target, the way I look at it. Felix takes time to get started, takes time to get rid of someone, he can catch up with Oscar later on - but who's gonna get off first? Looking at the two guys, the one who gets off first is Oscar. While Trinidad's going to be looking to unload the bombs, the other guy's gonna be coming up with blazing guns. Felix has his hands up above his chin but his hands aren't really a defence mechanism. Oscar uses his feet as a defence mechanism, and he has his hands in front, like Roy Jones. If Felix has Oscar on the deck, he's not a quick finisher, he's a heavy loader, while if Oscar puts Felix on the deck, he's gonna jump on him. I've got to go with Oscar.

FLOYD MAYWEATHER SR. (manager and trainer of his son Floyd Mayweather Jr.; former welterweight): Trinidad looked awfully good in his last fight. I think his defence has got better. De La Hoya showed me the heart of a champion when he fought Quartey. I don't want to call it [pick a winner] but I look for it to be a real good, exciting fight, and I don't think the fight will go the distance. One of them is going to go.

ANGELO DUNDEE (legendary trainer): We're gonna see how De La Hoya can handle height, because he's used to fighting small guys. His left hook counter is a danger to Trinidad, but De La Hoya has a tendency to back up and you can't back up from Trinidad because you give him momentum. This won't go five, six rounds because someone is gonna get bombed. Toss a coin. But I think the coin toss points towards Trinidad. Oscar has so many things going on. Trinidad knows only one way - train! But I do make this a tough, tough fight. The plus for De La Hoya is that counter left hook. I'm thinking of Nino Benvenuti and Luis Rodriguez [the latter a Cuban trained by Dundee]. I told Luis: 'Box, box, box!' but he said: 'I'm gonna knock him out.' [Benvenuti, behind on points and cut on the bridge of the nose, knocked out Rodriguez in the 11th round.] It's an artistic match-up, both guys have trouble making welterweight, there are questions on both sides. So, there you go.

BOB MITTLEMAN (co-manager of De La Hoya when the Olympic gold medallist turned professional, later stepped down for a monetary consideration): Off De La Hoya's last fight, against Oba Carr, he'll get drilled if he fights that style. But I know Oscar. He won't fight that fight with Trinidad. He'll have his shoulders hunched, move around the ring perimeter. He'll box like he did against Ike Quartey, maybe use some of the defensive tricks he picked up from the professor [veteran trainer Jesus Rivero, who was brought on board to improve De La Hoya's defence but did not last]. It will be more of a chess match than people want to see. I can see Felix being the gunman here. Oscar seems to be holding a punch better than he used to, but he has never been challenged like this. But I wouldn't bet against Oscar. I bet some fights, but not this one - this is a fight I just want to watch.

ABEL SANCHEZ (trainer, worked with Miguel Angel Gonzalez against De La Hoya): My heart is with Oscar, but if I had to bet on it, I'd bet on Felix. I think he's a better puncher, and Oscar has levelled out - he hasn't improved enough in the last several fights as Felix has improved. Oscar is just as good a fighter, but Felix hits harder. I think Oscar's faster than Felix. If he wins, he wins by moving in, doing his thing and coming on out, just outhustling Felix, not try to knock him out. I think it may be a boring fight because Oscar's going to do what it takes to win. Regardless of what strategy they work on, I think he will do whatever he thinks is necessary, in his mind, to win the fight. But Felix hits awfully hard, that's the scary part.

THEL TORRENCE (trainer): I have to pick Trinidad, if only because of the inadequacies of De La Hoya - he's been a little tight [tense] and seems to get hit with those straight shots. Trinidad is so long and hits so hard, I can see him hitting De La Hoya over Oscar's low hands and stopping him somewhere down the line. If I were training Oscar for the fight I'd keep him moving from side to side and stay loose, get his shots off and get out of range - and have his hands up a little higher, keep his head moving and not stay in front of Trinidad. I wouldn't be surprised to see Trinidad down, but he comes back strong when he gets up.

MICKEY DUFF (longtime matchmaker, manager and promoter): I like De La Hoya to beat anybody. I wouldn't like my life to depend on it, though. But De La Hoya rises to the occasion in these kind of matches, he's capable of pulling out that bit extra. I see it as a good fight - it can't be anything else, because both guys will want to win so badly, and neither one has the reputation of hiding themselves.

CURTIS COKES (former welterweight champion, trainer): I'm leaning towards Trinidad because I think he's a the better puncher and a more fiery type of fighter than De La Hoya. I think Trinidad will probably win by knockout. De La Hoya tries to please the crowd and fights out of his mode sometimes. I would have him go back to his old style of boxing and moving and not getting into exchanges. He's a mover. Getting into exchanges is not his style. He has a good jab, good right hand, good hook and he's a boxer. When he gets into those exchanges, he starts to get busted up, gets his eye cut, his lip swollen. De La Hoya's got a lot of heart but I think Trinidad will bust him up, he's got too much power.

I don't think these guys have the physical toughness that the guys in my day had. When I was fighting, the guys wasn't ashamed to get knocked down. It was part of the game. These guys, they get embarrassed when they get knocked down and they jump up too quickly, don't have their legs under them and still try to fight. There's a way to get up from a knockdown.

CARLOS PALOMINO, former welterweight champion, now TV analyst, actor): It depends on how Oscar fights. Technically I see Trinidad being the superior fighter right now. I think he has a little more power than Oscar, but I think Oscar has greater hand speed. If he can surprise Trinidad early with his hand speed, he can do it, but if it goes past four or five rounds and Trinidad starts to get rolling and warm up he should be able to stop Oscar in the late rounds. Technically, I haven't seen Oscar really improve that much. He always pretty much does the same thing. He fights in a very sporadic kind of way. I don't see any real technically correct combinations come out of him. He just lets his hands go, and not many people have written about the fact that he misses a lot of punches. I think it's because he throws his hands, hoping something's going to land. In the fight against Quartey, in the 12th round, the guy is completely out on his feet and he couldn't finish him. It's because he goes crazy and throws punches without any rhyme or reason, without setting anything up. You've got a guy hurt in a corner and he's wobbly, just take your time, set the shots up and get him out. He must have thrown 50 punches and landed three or four and then he ran out of gas.

Against a really top-notch guy, like against Whitaker, he had so many problems even landing punches - and Trinidad was able to land at will on Whitaker. Oba Carr did surprise Trinidad in that second round, but it was a flash knockdown and Trinidad got up and he pretty much dominated every round after the knockdown and he knocked Carr out in the eighth round. He seems to be able to recover really quickly and then come on.

Against Oscar, Carr was winning all the middle rounds. And the thing that really surprises me about Oscar, too, is that when he's not moving on his feet, he's very easy to hit. Miguel Angel Gonzalez, who is slow as molasses, was landing his right hand almost at will on him. When Oscar stops moving, he seems to be very stiff, he doesn't have any head movement, any upper-body movement, and I think that's why, if you can time his jab, he kind of eats right hands - and Trinidad is pretty lethal, his accuracy is really high. Being Mexican, my heart is with Oscar, but if I was to bet on the fight - and I'm not a betting man - I would bet on Trinidad, in the later rounds.

I worked for about three years with Showtime doing the Spanish commentary and I got to see him up close a few times. I was at the fight in Puerto Rico when he fought the African kid [Mahengu Zulu], and the manager and trainer guaranteed at the press conference that Trinidad would not be able to knock him out, that he could take anything and, man, he devastated that poor kid - he froze him. It was a left hook, right on the money - the kid was out when he got hit. But at times Oscar seems like he's going backwards, like he's getting worse. Oscar looks like a world-class amateur to me - but that hand speed will get you out of a lot of trouble.

ARNIE ROSENTHAL (manager, TV analyst): I really think Trinidad is too powerful a puncher for him, he's got too much - it appears to me anyway - of a reach advantage, he's going to be too much for Oscar. Oscar pulled it out against Ike Quartey, but Quartey had been sitting out for a long time and I don't think he's got the punching power that a Trinidad has. I think Oscar would have had a much better chance fighting him at 154lbs. I think that at 147lbs, Trinidad is going to be too heavy a puncher for Oscar. In a distance fight I like Oscar, but I don't think it's going to go to a decision. I think Trinidad's going to get to him early and Oscar's going to be right there for him. I don't think Oscar has the right style to stay away from Trinidad. He lunges in, leans forward - I just think Trinidad's going to tag him all day long. I see the fight going under six.

AL MITCHELL (trainer of world super welter champ David Reid): I have to go with Oscar - Oscar knows how to win. He can do a little bit of everything. People don't give Oscar the credit. I think Oscar's one of the great young fighters that's coming around. He's a good mental fighter, and I like the way he does what he has to do in that last round or two rounds. Sure, he's been in some close bouts but, guess what, he got the win.

DAVID REID (World Boxing Association super welter champion): I want Oscar to win - for my sake - but that fight is a pick 'em fight because Trinidad is a great champion and he has been for a lot of years. We've got two young guys with two great wills to win. It's a great match-up. That type of fight, it all boils down to who can take the best shot and who wants it the most.

BOBBY GOODMAN (director of boxing for Trinidad's promoter, Don King): Obviously it's the match of the year, one of the biggest of the decade. I think that Trinidad has proven that he has really learned to fight. To me he's the best welterweight in the world. I'm very impressed with De La Hoya, especially late in a fight, but I think Trinidad will stop Oscar in the sixth or seventh round.

BRUCE TRAMPLER (matchmaker for De La Hoya's promoter, Bob Arum): It's Oscar's fight to win or lose. If he fights the fight he's capable of, he should win easily. If he lets emotion overrule his common sense and discipline, and gets caught up in engaging in warfare, he can lose. You have to factor in the motivation here - he's the one who wanted this fight. Now he has to go out and do what he's capable of doing.

Does Boxing Monthly agree with the experts? You won't know unless you buy the September issue


Also available to read from issue:

Magazine Contents:
Full details of the September 1999 issue - the complete contents listing.

World Rankings:
See where the top fighters were rated when September 1999 went to press...

A FATAL FLAW?
He's talented as hell, exciting too. But will the hot head of Ferocious Fernando Vargas, in trouble with the authorities again, undermine a potentially great career? GRAHAM HOUSTON investigates.

GULF DRAW
STEVE FARHOOD tries to make head or tail of the careers of Shannon Briggs and Frans Botha, the heavyweight nearly men whose draw further complicated the picture.


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